《全球铁合金网》2021-12-2:MEPS has upgraded its global crude stainless steel production forecast to 56.8 million tonnes, in 2021. A slowdown in Chinese output is being offset by stronger-than-expected activity in the rest of the world, particularly in Indonesia.
MEPS 最新发布的报告指出,其已将其 2021 年全球粗不锈钢产量预测上调至 5680 万吨。中国产量放缓被世界其他地区,尤其是印度尼西亚的活动强于预期所抵消。
Indonesian production has soared, this year. Mills in the country are expected to manufacture more than 4.5 million tonnes, in the current twelve-month period. As a result, Indonesia is set to surpass India as the second largest stainless steel producer in the world.
今年印尼的产量猛增。在当前的 12 个月期间,该国的钢厂预计将生产超过 450 万吨。因此,印度尼西亚将超越印度成为世界第二大不锈钢生产国。
In China, government directives to restrict melting activity, introduced in the first six months of 2021, were subsequently enforced more strictly. Power rationing in October, caused by coal shortages, further curtailed output. Moreover, the crisis at Chinese real estate company, Evergrande, is negatively affecting steel consumption in the construction sector.
在中国,政府于 2021 年前六个月出台的限制熔炼活动的指令随后得到了更严格的执行。煤炭短缺导致 10 月份的电力配给进一步削减了产量。此外,中国房地产公司恒大的危机正在对建筑行业的钢材消费产生负面影响。
Taiwanese production is forecast to expand to 925,000 tonnes, this year. An industrial fire at a major domestic rolling mill failed to curtail third quarter shipments. Stainless steelmakers in Japan and South Korea, buoyed by outstanding financial results, are set to increase annual melting activity by more than 20 and 12 percent, respectively.
中国台湾地区今年的产量预计将扩大至 925,000 吨。国内一家大型轧钢厂发生工业火灾,未能减少第三季度的出货量。日本和韩国的不锈钢制造商在出色的财务业绩的推动下,其年度熔炼活动量将分别增加 20% 和 12% 以上。
Indian stainless steel output receded in the second quarter of 2021. Soaring Covid-19 cases in the country prompted the government to enforce lockdown measures. Furthermore, rationing of oxygen to steelmakers took place. By the third quarter, after the crisis was alleviated, rolling mills are believed to have ramped up production to meet recovering end-user demand.
印度不锈钢产量在 2021 年第二季度下降。该国 Covid-19 病例激增促使政府实施封锁措施。此外,还对钢铁制造商进行了氧气配给。到第三季度,危机得到缓解后,据信轧钢厂已经提高了产量,以满足最终用户需求的复苏。
European stainless steelmaking is forecast to reach a total of 7.06 million tonnes. Poor weather in the middle of this year had less impact on steel production than initially envisaged. Moreover, European rolling mills report full order books. Consequently, output figures for the fourth quarter are expected to be strong.
预计欧洲不锈钢总产量将达到 706 万吨。今年年中的恶劣天气对钢铁生产的影响比最初设想的要小。此外,欧洲轧钢厂报告了完整的订单簿。因此,预计第四季度的产出数据将强劲。
In the United States, production is forecast to climb to 2.5 million tonnes. This is an increase of more than 16 percent, year-on-year. However, the annual outturn is unlikely to return to pre-pandemic levels in 2022. Shortages of stainless steel, particularly cold rolled coil, are likely to be a feature of the domestic market in the short term.
在美国,预计产量将攀升至 250 万吨。同比增长超过 16%。然而,2022年全年产量不太可能恢复到疫情前的水平。不锈钢短缺,尤其是冷轧卷短缺,可能是短期内国内市场的一个特点。
Global stainless steel production is set to grow again, next year. MEPS forecasts an annual total of 58.2 million tonnes in 2022 – an increase of 2.5 percent. Expansion in Indonesian output should continue to outpace that in India. However, rises in other regions are projected to be modest. This will bring little comfort to buyers that are contending with domestic shortages and soaring prices.
明年,全球不锈钢产量将再次增长。其也预测 2022 年的年度总量为 5820 万吨——增长 2.5%。印尼产量的扩张应该会继续超过印度。然而,其他地区的增长预计将温和。这不会给正在应对国内短缺和价格飞涨的买家带来多少安慰。